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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Tsitsipas vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Tsitsipas 2 - 7 Nadal
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Tsitsipas has won 54.48% of points on their second serve, while Nadal has won 53.08%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Tsitsipas, in recent form, has won 50.25% of their opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.23%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.69% and 31.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Tsitsipas has saved 70% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 58.21% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Tsitsipas has won 65.75% of matches played (W/L 48/ 25), with Nadal winning 58.33% (W/L 7/ 5) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Tsitsipas has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 76% (W/L 190/ 59), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 24/ 17). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
- Player level: In the last year, Tsitsipas has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 65.52% of matches (W/L 19/ 10), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Tsitsipas winning 2 times and Nadal being victorious 7 times. They have played 26 sets in total, with Tsitsipas winning 8 and Nadal winning 18. The last match between Tsitsipas and Nadal was at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona, 25-04-2021, Final, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 6-4 6-7(6) 7-5.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:24:44.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Tsitsipas and Nadal have played a deciding set 5 times, with Tsitsipas winning 2 times and Nadal 3 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Tsitsipas winning 3, and Nadal 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Tsitsipas has played against opponents with an average rank of 124.59 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 95.92.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Tsitsipas has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Tsitsipas has converted 42.65% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 40.66% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
11
Rank
3
High
25
Age
R
Plays
2
Total7
1
Hard2
1
Clay3
0
Indoor2
0
Grass0
264
Rank
1
High
38
Age
L
Plays
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
Form
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
68% (493-234)
Career Total W/L
82% (1119-241)
74% (28-10)
YTD W/L
58% (7-5)
$19,423,690
Career Prize Money
$96,533,810
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
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| stats | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Rafael Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Sets Won | 8 | 18 |
| Games Won | 107 | 149 |
| Aces (Total) | 64 | 42 |
| DFs (Total) | 15 | 18 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:24:44 | 2:24:44 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (479/759) | 66% (500/758) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 71% (341/479) | 76% (381/500) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 48% (133/280) | 59% (151/258) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 30% (13/44) | 43% (34/80) |
| Return Points W% | 30% (226/758) | 37% (283/759) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 14% (1/7) | 86% (6/7) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st set W, W | 50% (2/1) | 86% (7/6) |
| 1st set W, L | 50% (2/1) | 14% (7/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 14% (7/1) | 50% (2/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 6-7(6) 7-5 |
Stats 
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
64%
(
78 of
122)
1st Serve %
62%
(
74 of
120)
2
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
3
69%
(
54 of
78)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
55 of
74)
55%
(
24 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
20 of
46)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
36%
(
44 of
122)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
45 of
120)
123
Total Points Won
119
|
||||
| 3-6 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
84 of
136)
1st Serve %
68%
(
103 of
151)
17
Aces
15
0
Double Faults
2
79%
(
66 of
84)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
80 of
103)
69%
(
36 of
52)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
28 of
48)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
25%
(
34 of
136)
Rtn Points Won
28%
(
43 of
151)
145
Total Points Won
142
|
||||
| 6-4 4-6 6-2 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
65%
(
47 of
72)
1st Serve %
57%
(
45 of
79)
8
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
33 of
45)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
15 of
34)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
26%
(
19 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
31 of
79)
84
Total Points Won
67
|
||||
| 6-7(4) 6-4 7-5 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66%
(
61 of
93)
1st Serve %
66%
(
77 of
117)
6
Aces
11
3
Double Faults
3
85%
(
52 of
61)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
58 of
77)
56%
(
18 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
20 of
40)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
25%
(
23 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
39 of
117)
109
Total Points Won
101
|
||||
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
59%
(
35 of
59)
1st Serve %
64%
(
34 of
53)
1
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
1
71%
(
25 of
35)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
26 of
34)
79%
(
19 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
15 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
19 of
53)
63
Total Points Won
49
|
||||
| 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Rafael Nadal
70%
(
60 of
86)
1st Serve %
73%
(
69 of
94)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
57%
(
34 of
60)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
41 of
69)
42%
(
11 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
11 of
25)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
48%
(
41 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
42 of
94)
87
Total Points Won
93
|
||||
| 6-2 6-4 6-0 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66%
(
40 of
61)
1st Serve %
69%
(
45 of
65)
5
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
85%
(
34 of
40)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
29 of
45)
71%
(
15 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
20%
(
12 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
30 of
65)
79
Total Points Won
47
|
||||
| 6-2 7-6(4) |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
56%
(
32 of
57)
1st Serve %
56%
(
35 of
62)
4
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
0
94%
(
30 of
32)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
25 of
35)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
21%
(
12 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
62)
68
Total Points Won
51
|
||||
| 6-2 6-1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
71%
(
35 of
49)
1st Serve %
61%
(
25 of
41)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
15 of
25)
43%
(
6 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
19%
(
3 of
16)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
33%
(
16 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
56
Total Points Won
34
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Rafael Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 74% (28/10) | 58% (7/5) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 69% (66/30) | 54% (15/13) |
| Games Win/Loss | 57% (528/399) | 54% (143/123) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 63% (10/6) | 67% (2/1) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 81% (17/4) | 56% (5/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.46 | 0.19 |
| Aces Total | 209 | 24 |
| DFs per game | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| DFs Total | 107 | 22 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:49:25 | 2:6:53 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 122.92 | 95.92 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (1716/2854) | 69% (568/828) |
| 1st Serve W% | 74% (1264/1716) | 68% (387/568) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 54% (620/1138) | 53% (138/260) |
| BPs Won% Total | 43% (116/272) | 41% (37/91) |
| Return Pts W% | 38% (1025/2702) | 39% (329/838) |
| Slam W/L | 78% (7/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Masters W/L | 73% (11/4) | 67% (4/2) |
| Cups W/L | 100% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 69% (9/4) | 60% (3/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 72% (21/29) | 64% (7/11) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 78% (7/9) | 0% (0/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 64% (9/14) | 25% (1/4) |
| Deciding Set W% | 67% (4/6) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st set W, W | 92% (24/22) | 86% (7/6) |
| 1st set W, L | 8% (24/2) | 14% (7/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 43% (14/6) | 20% (5/1) |
Stefanos Tsitsipas Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
73%
(
61 of
84)
1st Serve %
61%
(
60 of
98)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
74%
(
45 of
61)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
39 of
60)
74%
(
17 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
26%
(
22 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
39 of
98)
101
Total Points Won
81
|
6-3 7-6(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
66%
(
77 of
116)
1st Serve %
58%
(
88 of
151)
7
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
2
74%
(
57 of
77)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
57 of
88)
54%
(
21 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
30 of
63)
24%
(
5 of
21)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
33%
(
38 of
116)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
64 of
151)
142
Total Points Won
125
|
3-6 7-6(4) 6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Zhizhen Zhang
72%
(
46 of
64)
1st Serve %
63%
(
46 of
73)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
1
83%
(
38 of
46)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
28 of
46)
78%
(
14 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
19%
(
12 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
33 of
73)
85
Total Points Won
52
|
6-3 6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Daniel Altmaier
64%
(
74 of
116)
1st Serve %
63%
(
67 of
106)
7
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
2
73%
(
54 of
74)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
51 of
67)
69%
(
29 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
19 of
39)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
28%
(
33 of
116)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
36 of
106)
119
Total Points Won
103
|
6-3 6-2 6-7(2) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Marton Fucsovics
68%
(
58 of
85)
1st Serve %
64%
(
71 of
111)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
81%
(
47 of
58)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
52 of
71)
56%
(
15 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
13 of
40)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
27%
(
23 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
46 of
111)
108
Total Points Won
88
|
7-6(7) 6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66%
(
68 of
103)
1st Serve %
69%
(
71 of
103)
8
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
69%
(
47 of
68)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
51 of
71)
60%
(
21 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
34%
(
35 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
37 of
103)
105
Total Points Won
101
|
3-6 7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Alex De Minaur
69%
(
27 of
39)
1st Serve %
66%
(
27 of
41)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
74%
(
20 of
27)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
13 of
27)
83%
(
10 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
23%
(
9 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
53
Total Points Won
27
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 | 6-2 7-6(1) | H2H | |||
| R2 |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
62%
(
64 of
103)
1st Serve %
63%
(
77 of
122)
5
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
4
72%
(
46 of
64)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
57 of
77)
51%
(
20 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
15 of
45)
31%
(
5 of
16)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
37 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
50 of
122)
116
Total Points Won
109
|
6-7(1) 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Thiago Moura Monteiro
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
89%
(
55 of
62)
1st Serve %
62%
(
42 of
68)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
76%
(
42 of
55)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
57%
(
4 of
7)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
14 of
26)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
16 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
26 of
68)
72
Total Points Won
58
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77%
(
72 of
93)
1st Serve %
70%
(
78 of
111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72%
(
52 of
72)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
45 of
78)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
16 of
33)
33%
(
6 of
18)
Break Points Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
50 of
111)
112
Total Points Won
92
|
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54%
(
30 of
56)
1st Serve %
72%
(
38 of
53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83%
(
25 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
25 of
53)
66
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62%
(
58 of
93)
1st Serve %
56%
(
44 of
78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
39 of
58)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
63%
(
22 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
21 of
34)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
34%
(
32 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
27 of
78)
88
Total Points Won
83
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71%
(
46 of
65)
1st Serve %
61%
(
44 of
72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89%
(
41 of
46)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
37%
(
7 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
17 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
28 of
72)
76
Total Points Won
61
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78%
(
59 of
76)
1st Serve %
61%
(
74 of
122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64%
(
38 of
59)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
39 of
74)
35%
(
6 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
18 of
48)
50%
(
9 of
18)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
42%
(
32 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
65 of
122)
109
Total Points Won
89
|
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73%
(
45 of
62)
1st Serve %
66%
(
44 of
67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
12 of
23)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
21 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
26 of
67)
67
Total Points Won
62
|
7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62%
(
24 of
39)
1st Serve %
69%
(
27 of
39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79%
(
19 of
24)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
73%
(
11 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
17%
(
2 of
12)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
9 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
53
Total Points Won
25
|
6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
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Tsitsipas Vs Nadal Prediction H2H Images To Share
More tennis photos of Tsitsipas are available here and Nadal photos here.
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